When Campaigns Peak

What the timing shows

Peaks coincide on both platforms

EHU is attacked in April, “political prisoners” in March, the Coordination Council in May, on YouTube and on Telegram alike. Week by week the peaks fall in the same week: EHU in the week of 13 April, “political prisoners” in the week of 9 March.

How tightly they move

Weekly correlation of Telegram and YouTube: EHU 0.92, Tsikhanouskaya 0.81, “political prisoners” 0.74, Coordination Council 0.54.

A burst and a drumbeat

EHU is a burst: from 0–5 texts a month to 71 in April, set off by the Supreme Court ruling of 14 April. The labels “beglye” and “zmagary” are a drumbeat: 400–500 texts every month.

The background is flat

On Telegram, 1.7–2.1% of all posts attack independent actors in every month; the waves come on top of a steady base.

When: months by addressee

The number in a cell is the count of texts (Telegram) or videos (YouTube) in the month, all actors. Colour shows intensity adjusted for the month’s volume, against the strongest month of the row; the bold cell is the row’s peak. Dark cells in the same column on both platforms mean a simultaneous surge.